La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Bromley FC

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.972%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.381%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.87%27.91%29.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.333.313.5531.75%30.07%30.21%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Predicción 44.27%2.26momio equitativo
EV -4.81%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.24%44.28%44.27%45.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.082.1552.36%48.20%48.08%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%27.85%27.82%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.4433.33%30.25%30.30%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -0.972%E -0.274%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -4.26%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:20
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 15:30
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 21:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 21:55
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 27.14%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.98%EV -8.35%E -4.03%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.88%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-28 02:15
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -4.60%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 02:10
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 02:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 02:58
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:45
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:45
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:45
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:45
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.90%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 22:40
LowVig.ag3.31I 30.21%NM 27.97%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag3.31I 30.21%NM 27.97%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:05
BetUS3.31I 30.21%NM 27.97%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:09
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 21:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 22:45
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 01:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 01:35
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 01:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 01:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 01:35
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -10.57%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -10.57%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:40
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -10.57%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:40
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 21:55
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.45%E -5.73%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -15.44%E -8.08%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -16.51%E -5.50%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 21:54
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.45%E -5.73%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 23:44
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:10
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:10
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-03-28 02:50