La escuela de los momios

Barnet v Gillingham

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 65.09%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -7.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.94%65.13%65.16%67.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.441.4873.53%70.04%69.69%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gillingham (Visitante)

Predicción 14.24%7.02momio equitativo
EV +6.78%
Ventaja +0.904%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.071%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.52%14.23%14.13%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.396.257.5017.39%15.64%16.00%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV +0.463%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.120%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.23%20.63%20.71%23.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.404.8626.67%22.81%22.73%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +6.78%E +0.904%K +1.04%G +0.071%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:05
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:14
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:59
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 08:15
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:55
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 21:09
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 00:54
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.48%E -8.44%K -31.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -0.342%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 21:09
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -1.77%E -0.256%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 12:04
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -1.77%E -0.256%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -3.90%E -0.578%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.75%EV -4.61%E -0.689%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:40
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.54%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.05%EV -5.61%E -0.846%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -0.777%E -0.162%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -9.52%E -6.85%K -24.42%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -6.04%E -0.915%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -0.777%E -0.162%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -3.66%E -2.48%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -3.66%E -2.48%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:40
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:39
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:16
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:04
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 20:25
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -7.46%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -22.48%E -6.00%K -8.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 21:20
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -8.87%E -6.34%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.88%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 12:00
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 65.82%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.02%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.23%EV +0.463%E +0.095%K +0.120%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-23 12:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -11.02%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 02:40
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.02%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -4.97%E -3.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -11.73%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 02:40
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -4.97%E -3.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -11.73%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 02:40
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.01%EV -4.97%E -3.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 13:59
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 13:59
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 13:59
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 14:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -13.16%E -2.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 13:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 03:00
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 20:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 20:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 20:25
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -5.62%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 14:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.27%E -4.35%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 13:59
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -9.52%E -6.85%K -24.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -9.52%E -6.85%K -24.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.58%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 64.70%EV -11.48%E -8.44%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -18.14%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%3.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 66.77%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%6.5%2026-04-24 03:40