La escuela de los momios

Barnet v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnet (Local)

Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -4.51%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.24%34.40%34.35%36.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.702.7840.00%37.76%37.04%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.13%35.47%35.58%36.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.622.612.7040.00%38.20%38.31%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -0.953%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.13%30.07%31.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.083.103.2536.36%32.49%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.30%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.71%EV -5.11%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -4.25%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 10:34
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 01:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 23:50
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 10:35
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 10:35
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.05%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.48%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -8.47%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.05%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.48%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -8.47%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.14%E -0.660%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 21:03
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 19:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 01:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 10:34
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 13:50
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:24
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:20
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 10:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 10:34
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 10:34
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 21:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 10:35
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 19:35
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 19:35
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.24%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -17.20%E -6.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.14%E -0.660%K -0.953%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 21:05
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.14%E -0.660%K -0.953%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.14%E -0.660%K -0.953%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 09:24
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-25 02:29
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-27 12:09
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 10:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 10:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 10:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 17:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 09:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 10:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 09:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 09:59
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 17:44
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 17:45
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 17:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39%1.2%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39%1.2%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39%1.2%2026-03-28 02:50
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-03-28 02:40