La escuela de los momios

Wycombe Wanderers v Rotherham United

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 3–2 Rotherham United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 58.71%1.70momio equitativo
EV -4.89%
Ventaja -3.02%
Kelly -7.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.55%58.79%58.72%62.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.561.571.6268.03%64.14%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Predicción 18.70%5.35momio equitativo
EV +7.53%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.119%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.31%18.63%18.73%19.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.115.005.7521.74%19.59%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.59%4.43momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.367%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.58%22.56%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.134.154.5027.78%24.18%24.10%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV +7.53%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.119%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -1.73%E -0.399%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV +7.53%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.119%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -1.73%E -0.399%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV +7.53%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.119%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -1.73%E -0.399%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.86%E -0.666%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -3.99%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +4.72%E +0.843%K +1.03%G +0.048%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -3.99%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV +2.85%E +0.519%K +0.634%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV +2.85%E +0.519%K +0.634%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.82%E -0.347%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:17
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.82%E -0.347%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.82%E -0.347%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.30%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.11%EV -2.01%E -0.384%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.63%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -3.99%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:05
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:19
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:05
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.65%E +0.367%K +0.472%G +0.008%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -18.68%E -5.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 13:56
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.43%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.43%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.37%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.37%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:01
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.37%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.24%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:05
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:05
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -11.17%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -13.98%E -3.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.37%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55