La escuela de los momios

Wycombe Wanderers v Blackpool

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 0–1 Blackpool

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 51.33%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.54%51.31%51.34%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.801.801.8858.48%55.70%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 23.25%4.30momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.257%
Kelly +0.333%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%23.13%23.26%24.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.004.3526.67%24.66%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.43%3.93momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.889%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.32%25.56%25.40%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.643.703.8031.25%27.51%27.03%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.66%E -5.49%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +1.12%E +0.257%K +0.333%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:19
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.66%E -5.49%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +1.12%E +0.257%K +0.333%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:20
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.66%E -5.49%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +1.12%E +0.257%K +0.333%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:20
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.79%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.79%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.79%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:20
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -11.20%E -6.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -11.20%E -6.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -0.045%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:19
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -12.23%E -7.15%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -2.37%E -0.564%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -12.23%E -7.15%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -2.37%E -0.564%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:19
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.58%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.43%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.58%E -3.62%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 09:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:48
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.58%E -3.62%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 09:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 09:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:39
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 09:00
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 09:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.15%E -5.17%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.15%E -5.17%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 09:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.58%E -3.62%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 09:00
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.58%E -3.62%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 09:00
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 09:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.55%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.55%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -13.55%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.28%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -8.64%E -4.85%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 09:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.38%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:40
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:40
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.87%EV -12.60%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.87%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -11.20%E -6.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -18.64%E -5.82%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-04-18 13:40