La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 0–4 Huddersfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.954%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.60%29.50%29.34%33.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.153.3036.36%32.56%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 45.41%2.20momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.15%45.19%45.44%46.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.052.2352.36%48.14%48.78%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.25%3.96momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.31%25.22%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.703.8032.26%27.24%27.03%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -16.35%E -5.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV +1.25%E +0.563%K +1.02%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -16.35%E -5.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV +1.25%E +0.563%K +1.02%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -16.35%E -5.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV +1.25%E +0.563%K +1.02%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -0.108%E -0.049%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -1.02%E -0.466%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -17.82%E -6.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -1.02%E -0.466%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -19.29%E -7.01%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -19.29%E -7.01%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.14%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.14%EV -2.83%E -1.32%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.65%E -2.21%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle3.23I 30.96%NM 29.45%EV -5.20%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.52%EV -5.10%E -2.44%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:50
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.92%E -3.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -7.37%E -3.61%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:56
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -8.28%E -4.10%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -8.28%E -4.10%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.28%E -4.10%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.28%E -4.10%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:43
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:53
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.19%E -4.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:54
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.28%E -6.95%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.74%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 13:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-05-02 13:55