La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Blackpool

Inicio: 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 39.44%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.84%39.53%39.39%42.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.352.4446.51%43.18%42.55%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV +0.020%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%31.20%31.22%32.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.012.993.2035.71%33.26%33.44%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.30%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.547%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%29.27%29.39%31.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.203.203.3535.71%31.28%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -12.05%E -5.40%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -1.83%E -0.547%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 19:35
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -12.05%E -5.40%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -1.83%E -0.547%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 19:35
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -12.05%E -5.40%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -1.83%E -0.547%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 19:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:35
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:35
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -13.23%E -6.01%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -14.02%E -6.43%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 19:35
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -14.02%E -6.43%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 19:36
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -15.20%E -7.07%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 19:35
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -15.20%E -7.07%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-11 19:35
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.94%EV -4.95%E -2.05%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -2.42%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -3.73%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 19:20
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -3.73%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 19:20
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 19:35
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -7.71%E -3.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 19:35
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 19:18
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.10%EV -5.94%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 19:30
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.15%EV -6.53%E -2.75%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 19:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 19:35
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.86%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.86%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 19:35
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.36%EV -8.89%E -3.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-11 19:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.26%E -5.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-11 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.34%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.76%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 19:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 19:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.30%E -1.000%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 19:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 19:40
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 19:35
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 19:20
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 19:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 19:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 19:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 19:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 19:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.16%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-11 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-11 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-11 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-11 19:35
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%1.9%2026-03-11 19:35