La escuela de los momios

Wigan Athletic v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Wigan Athletic 2–1 Mansfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 39.81%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%39.76%39.75%41.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.4644.44%42.58%42.55%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV +0.118%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%31.10%31.23%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.852.942.903.2135.09%34.02%34.48%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.00%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.412%
Kelly -0.583%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.70%29.13%29.02%31.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.153.4034.48%31.52%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.10%EV -2.07%E -0.840%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.97%EV +0.118%E +0.037%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.93%EV -9.81%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:53
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -15.90%E -5.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:25
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -13.00%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -8.83%E -3.86%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -1.98%E -0.586%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.55%E -3.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.55%E -3.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 38.70%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.65%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.65%EV -13.58%E -4.56%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:34
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 38.70%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.65%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.65%EV -13.58%E -4.56%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -3.26%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:44
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -3.26%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:45
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -3.26%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:50
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.65%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.40%E -0.412%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.65%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:15
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:19
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:15
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:19
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:19
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.30%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:19
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.13%EV -9.63%E -4.24%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:30
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:34
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -15.90%E -5.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:28
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -11.11%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.11%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.11%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-04-11 13:55