Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wigan Athletic v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 29.88%3.35momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.28%29.94%29.85%31.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.103.2534.48%32.19%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 40.47%2.47momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -2.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.35%40.41%40.53%41.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.3745.45%43.61%43.48%42.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.64%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -0.945%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.66%29.62%31.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.123.103.3036.36%32.09%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wigan Athletic (Local): 29.88%; Huddersfield Town (Visitante): 40.47%; Empate: 29.64%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.30, con un valor esperado de -2.17%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -2.88%E -0.885%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -3.06%E -0.937%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 13:30
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:55
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.37%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.08%E -1.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.48%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.08%E -1.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.48%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 11:45
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -5.70%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -5.70%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -5.70%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.24%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.39%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.72%E -3.39%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 11:55
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:45
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 12:20
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:40
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 11:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 11:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -18.48%E -6.72%K -10.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 12:40
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -6.10%E -2.63%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 01:40
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:43
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -7.72%E -3.39%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -7.72%E -3.39%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:16
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -9.15%E -3.01%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 01:34
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.17%E -0.659%K -0.945%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 07:34
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.35%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.34%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-02-28 14:15