La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Wycombe Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 44.12%2.27momio equitativo
EV -5.14%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -4.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%44.12%44.12%45.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.1550.00%47.48%47.62%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 29.07%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.13%29.07%30.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.25%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.806%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.299%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.36%26.75%26.81%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.403.7032.26%29.00%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:40
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.89%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -1.74%E -0.516%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.78%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%EV -2.62%E -0.781%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.78%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%EV -2.62%E -0.781%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:29
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:29
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:29
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.35%EV -6.91%E -3.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.06%EV -6.39%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.63%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:48
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:35
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:35
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.49%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:35
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:38
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:45
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -7.79%E -3.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -4.65%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.24%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.11%E -4.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:30
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.11%E -4.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:30
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.806%E -0.218%K -0.299%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:49
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.88%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-04-03 13:55