La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Stockport County FC v Bolton Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stockport County FC (Local)
Predicción 34.69%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.29%34.63%34.65%36.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.702.8241.67%37.36%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 36.44%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.52%36.48%38.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.13%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.42%28.84%28.87%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.153.4034.72%31.43%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.17%EV -2.17%E -0.771%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.64%EV -4.17%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -2.87%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -2.87%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -2.87%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -2.87%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -7.81%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -9.92%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.60%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -4.60%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.83%EV -4.17%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -9.06%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -5.64%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -3.80%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.06%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -5.64%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -3.80%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.06%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.64%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.17%E -3.24%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.64%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.17%E -3.24%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.11%EV -5.99%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.69%EV -5.62%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.21%EV -11.65%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -1.84%E -0.541%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.06%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.28%E -0.980%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.28%E -0.980%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -8.77%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -4.17%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 11:48 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -4.53%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -4.53%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.28%E -5.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.74%E -6.98%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.85%E -5.85%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |