Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sheffield Wednesday v Bromley FC

Inicio: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 7–2 Bromley FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 52.98%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.85%53.06%53.06%55.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.751.8360.61%56.77%56.98%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.62%4.62momio equitativo
EV -0.316%
Ventaja -0.069%
Kelly -0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.50%21.68%21.68%22.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.244.204.6125.32%23.57%23.81%21.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.39%3.94momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.394%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.15%25.27%25.26%26.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.604.0029.41%27.50%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 52.98%; Bromley FC (Visitante): 21.62%; Empate: 25.39%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.94. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.57%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV +1.57%E +0.394%K +0.525%G +0.008%8.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.75%E -3.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.83%EV -0.316%E -0.069%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -0.965%E -0.247%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -0.965%E -0.247%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.86%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.965%E -0.247%K -0.333%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.50%E -0.922%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.50%E -0.922%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.922%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:55
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -10.46%E -6.19%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.51%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.12%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.85%EV -2.91%E -0.648%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.69%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -9.40%E -5.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -4.86%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.51%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%2.3%2026-08-29 13:55