La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Reading

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 32.13%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%32.10%32.04%33.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.09%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reading (Visitante)

Predicción 39.96%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.73%39.97%40.02%41.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4345.45%42.62%42.55%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%27.94%27.94%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.4234.72%30.34%30.30%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.57%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:49
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -5.68%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:14
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -7.68%E -3.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.68%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:09
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.29%E -3.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.89%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:00
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:49
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:19
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.09%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:04
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:59
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 16:29
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:49
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -12.08%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:24
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:25
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:25
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 19:09
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:59
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.42%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:49
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:35
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:35
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.09%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 23:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.09%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.09%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 13:40
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -4.89%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:24
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.64%EV -8.48%E -3.70%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:59
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 19:09
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -4.89%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 13:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -4.89%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 13:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -12.08%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.44%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-21 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%2.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%3.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%3.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%4.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%5.0%2026-04-24 01:20