L’École des cotes

Reading v Wigan Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reading (Local)

Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.70%42.10%42.04%43.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.192.2847.62%45.77%45.77%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wigan Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.08%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%29.09%29.13%30.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.23%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.86%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.81%28.83%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.233.4035.71%31.03%31.01%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.92%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.10%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 21:30
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 00:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 15:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 21:08
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 10:05
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:45
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.32%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.78%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 00:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.63%E -2.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.63%E -2.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:43
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 15:44
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 05:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 21:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 09:59
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 21:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 18:29
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.54%EV -8.99%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 18:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.54%EV -8.99%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 19:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 23:44
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 20:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 12:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -7.47%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -19.18%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 18:30
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:55
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:54
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 15:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.776%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 15:44
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:55
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:54
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 13:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 15:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 18:28
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 18:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 13:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 13:04
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-24 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.99%E -4.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 18:54
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -9.99%E -4.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 18:54
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -9.99%E -4.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 05:49
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-03-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-03-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-03-27 21:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-03-27 21:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-03-27 21:45