La escuela de los momios

Reading v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reading (Local)

Predicción 36.61%2.73momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.88%36.78%36.50%40.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.482.502.6545.45%40.38%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 33.66%2.97momio equitativo
EV +0.985%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.493%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%33.48%33.84%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.753.0038.46%35.73%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.72%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.83%29.74%29.66%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.79%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV +0.985%E +0.328%K +0.493%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV +0.985%E +0.328%K +0.493%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV +0.985%E +0.328%K +0.493%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV +0.985%E +0.328%K +0.493%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 08:54
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -15.79%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -15.79%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -15.79%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -14.69%E -6.30%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -0.698%E -0.237%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.48%EV -5.90%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -1.37%E -0.468%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -12.86%E -5.40%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -2.38%E -0.821%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 08:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -17.62%E -7.83%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.38%E -0.821%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -16.52%E -7.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -3.05%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 14:16
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -15.79%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.830%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 20:34
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 14:15
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 14:15
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -19.45%E -8.84%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -14.39%E -5.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-26 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.99%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -7.26%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:14
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.74%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:05
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.74%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:16
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.21%EV -10.66%E -4.37%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:06
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 14:01
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -9.79%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -9.79%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.81%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:05
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.94%2.8%2026-02-28 14:15