Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading v Blackpool

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Reading 3–1 Blackpool

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading (Local)

Previsão 47.19%2.12odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.59%47.15%47.23%49.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.971.972.0554.05%50.66%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Blackpool (Visitante)

Previsão 26.83%3.73odd justa
EV -0.744%
Vantagem -0.201%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.83%26.82%26.87%28.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.463.453.7030.77%28.91%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.98%3.85odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.267%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%26.03%25.90%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.553.603.8130.30%28.19%27.78%26.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Reading (Local): 47.19%; Blackpool (Visitante): 26.83%; Empate: 25.98%. Para Blackpool (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -0.744%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 01:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:10
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 13:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 21:24
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 21:24
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -4.20%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -4.20%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 13:44
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.28%E -0.336%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 01:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.08%EV -1.02%E -0.267%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.08%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.952%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:35
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 05:25
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.57%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:30
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.952%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.952%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 14:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.28%E -0.336%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.79%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.47%EV -5.57%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 05:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 05:07
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 06:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 01:55
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -3.43%E -0.952%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 06:44
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -0.744%E -0.201%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:20
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -0.744%E -0.201%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:19
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 05:25
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 05:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.80%E -5.72%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.80%E -5.72%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.79%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 05:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -0.744%E -0.201%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 03:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.3%2026-09-04 14:20