La escuela de los momios

Plymouth Argyle v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Predicción 42.35%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.35%42.41%44.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.2848.78%45.27%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 29.53%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.502%
Kelly -0.717%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%29.56%29.52%31.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.103.3334.72%32.32%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.865%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.09%28.07%29.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.323.323.4531.75%30.10%30.12%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -4.33%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -6.64%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 10:50
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -4.33%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -6.64%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 10:50
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:40
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:39
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:03
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:25
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.18%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -1.67%E -0.502%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.99%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:40
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.40%E -2.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -9.45%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 13:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 13:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.64%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:54
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 10:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:45
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:30
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:44
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:42
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:09
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:44
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.06%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -13.18%E -6.43%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-03-21 14:54