Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United v Burton Albion

Início: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 1–1 Burton Albion

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 32.95%3.03odd justa
EV +0.168%
Vantagem +0.055%
Kelly +0.082%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.00%32.80%33.03%35.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.852.883.0438.17%35.06%34.78%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Previsão 38.86%2.57odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.825%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.92%38.90%38.83%42.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.342.352.5247.62%42.78%42.46%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.19%3.55odd justa
EV +4.31%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%28.30%28.14%31.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.343.403.7033.90%29.93%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peterborough United (Local): 32.95%; Burton Albion (Visitante): 38.86%; Empate: 28.19%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.55. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -7.91%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +4.31%E +1.17%K +1.60%G +0.069%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -7.91%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +1.49%E +0.415%K +0.574%G +0.009%6.3%2026-04-19 11:35
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV +1.49%E +0.415%K +0.574%G +0.009%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.35%E -5.99%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +0.083%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.35%E -5.99%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +0.083%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.35%E -5.99%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +0.083%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -2.80%E -0.948%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -2.80%E -0.948%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -14.51%E -6.60%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -13.67%E -5.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -1.33%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.10%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.07%E -7.44%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.07%E -7.44%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 11:35
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -10.71%E -3.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -2.47%E -0.983%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -5.10%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.46%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -7.91%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:40
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:52
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.68%E -3.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.76%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.62%EV -8.30%E -3.52%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.74%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 11:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.74%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.74%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.74%E -2.76%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 11:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:55
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.04%E -4.09%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.53%EV -2.47%E -0.834%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -5.96%E -2.46%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -12.04%E -3.86%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.26%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.15%E -0.383%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.26%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.05%EV +0.168%E +0.055%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -4.02%E -1.63%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.74%EV -13.45%E -4.38%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -2.86%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 11:55
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -4.45%E -1.53%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -9.39%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -18.40%E -8.76%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -3.79%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -2.08%E -0.825%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -15.99%E -5.36%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:55
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -3.79%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -2.08%E -0.825%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -15.99%E -5.36%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:55
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.09%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -16.83%E -5.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:40
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-19 11:40