La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Northampton Town v Burton Albion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Northampton Town (Local)
Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.98%32.57%32.23%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.792.803.0539.22%35.90%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burton Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 38.16%2.62momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.420%
Kelly +0.674%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.44%38.03%38.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.452.6543.48%40.27%40.82%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.117%
Ventaja -0.034%
Kelly -0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.42%29.40%29.45%30.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.4035.71%31.51%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -13.96%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +1.11%E +0.420%K +0.674%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -13.96%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +1.11%E +0.420%K +0.674%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -13.96%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +1.11%E +0.420%K +0.674%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV +0.350%E +0.133%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -15.59%E -5.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -0.795%E -0.306%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -15.59%E -5.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -0.795%E -0.306%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -17.21%E -6.75%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -2.70%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -17.21%E -6.75%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -2.70%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -0.976%E -0.320%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.97%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -5.20%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.37%E -2.17%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -5.20%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -5.37%E -2.17%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -0.117%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -2.60%E -0.866%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%EV -6.90%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -2.60%E -0.866%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%EV -6.90%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -3.05%E -0.926%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.86%EV -8.04%E -3.34%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.60%E -0.866%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -14.61%E -5.56%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.24%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |