La escuela de los momios

Lincoln City v Wycombe Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lincoln City (Local)

Predicción 51.98%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.61%51.97%51.87%53.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.791.791.8557.80%55.98%55.71%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 23.09%4.33momio equitativo
EV -0.002%
Ventaja -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%23.03%23.14%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.074.104.3327.78%24.55%24.39%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.92%4.01momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -0.788%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.98%25.00%24.99%26.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.643.633.9228.99%27.48%27.59%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 06:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 06:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.695%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:39
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.695%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:39
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.695%E -0.162%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 09:55
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 06:09
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.98%EV -2.30%E -0.587%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:13
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:40
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:39
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.76%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.55%EV -4.79%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 09:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.16%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:24
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.16%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:24
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 09:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -1.85%E -0.435%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 09:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:05
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 07:40
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.16%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -4.79%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:29
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 09:35
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 17:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.01%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 17:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 14:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:04
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 01:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:28
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 14:04
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.62%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 09:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 01:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.00%E -0.715%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:19
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -16.86%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%4.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%6.9%2026-04-24 03:50