Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient v Wycombe Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV -0.167%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%30.88%30.76%32.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.15%33.33%30.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.35%2.42momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.27%41.26%41.42%42.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.252.3246.51%44.58%44.44%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.84%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%27.86%27.81%28.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.333.353.5031.25%30.00%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leyton Orient (Local): 30.81%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante): 41.35%; Empate: 27.84%. Para Leyton Orient (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.25. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.24, con un valor esperado de -0.167%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.167%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.48%E -1.94%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -7.58%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -0.167%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.48%E -1.94%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.89%EV -7.58%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 10:30
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -3.25%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 10:30
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 09:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.38%E -3.29%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 09:35
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 09:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:24
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -7.25%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -6.55%E -2.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 10:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.57%E -0.733%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.51%EV -7.79%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:18
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.51%EV -7.79%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:19
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 11:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:30
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 09:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:29
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:30
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:24
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:40
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.79%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 14:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.27%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -12.18%E -4.27%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-03-21 14:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%2.6%2026-03-21 14:54