La escuela de los momios

Leyton Orient v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 30.03%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.930%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.82%30.10%30.08%32.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.053.2635.71%32.98%32.79%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 41.15%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.003%
Ventaja +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.68%41.10%41.16%42.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.272.4347.62%43.80%44.05%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -0.843%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.80%28.75%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.95%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -12.91%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -1.23%E -0.513%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -2.05%E -0.863%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -13.51%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -2.05%E -0.863%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:43
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.41%E -5.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -15.92%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -15.92%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:44
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -2.40%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 13:35
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -2.40%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -2.10%E -0.645%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -3.18%E -0.945%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 29.58%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.12%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.17%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.99%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:14
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.50%EV -7.82%E -3.49%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:44
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.01%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.81%2.1%2026-04-06 13:45