Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town v Wimbledon

Inicio: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Huddersfield Town 3–0 Wimbledon

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Predicción 58.02%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -2.58%
Kelly -6.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.21%58.04%58.02%59.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.60%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Predicción 18.46%5.42momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.278%
Kelly +0.340%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.99%18.42%18.51%19.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.075.005.5021.05%19.71%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.52%4.25momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.293%
Kelly -0.384%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.15%23.53%23.48%24.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.913.904.2027.40%25.56%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Huddersfield Town (Local): 58.02%; Wimbledon (Visitante): 18.46%; Empate: 23.52%. Para Wimbledon (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.42. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +1.53%E +0.278%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.15%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.75%EV -4.99%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:04
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.16%E -0.408%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:09
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.09%E -0.588%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 04:14
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -3.09%E -0.588%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:39
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -3.09%E -0.588%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -3.09%E -0.588%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -4.01%E -0.771%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.06%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.01%E -0.771%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -5.85%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.78%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:39
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.23%E -0.293%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 10:38
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 12:45
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 04:14
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 12:47
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 04:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 04:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:19
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.23%E -0.293%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:04
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.58%E -4.09%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 13:44
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.87%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -7.70%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:09
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.55%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -9.55%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.76%EV -11.22%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -9.55%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.21%EV -14.16%E -3.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.76%EV -11.22%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -9.55%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.21%EV -14.16%E -3.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.42%E -3.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.47%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -10.47%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 12:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -10.06%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-08-15 13:55