La escuela de los momios

Huddersfield Town v Wimbledon

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -6.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.62%56.68%56.70%58.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.601.6864.52%62.01%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Predicción 19.02%5.26momio equitativo
EV -4.89%
Ventaja -0.977%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.07%19.04%19.07%20.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.804.755.0022.22%20.81%21.05%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.406%
Kelly +0.533%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.56%24.28%24.23%25.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.804.2028.57%26.42%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV +1.71%E +0.406%K +0.533%G +0.009%5.5%2026-06-30 05:39
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.715%E -0.174%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 05:38
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -0.715%E -0.174%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.14%E -0.784%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.88%E -6.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.14%E -0.784%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 05:49
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:25
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 19:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 19:40
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.46%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.01%EV -6.22%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -7.50%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 04:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -6.91%E -4.21%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.50%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 04:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 02:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 19:14
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 10:04
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 08:38
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -10.32%E -6.53%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 02:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.40%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 19:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.88%E -6.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 12:14
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -12.02%E -7.75%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-30 05:39
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 06:44
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.18%E -5.74%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.40%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 07:28
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -10.88%E -6.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -14.40%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-30 05:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -15.24%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-30 14:19
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.24%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.24%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.61%E -5.35%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.24%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%10.3%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 49.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 27.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 22.45%43.7%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 49.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 27.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 22.45%43.7%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 49.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 27.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 22.45%43.7%2026-07-21 12:25