La escuela de los momios

Huddersfield Town v Reading

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Predicción 52.76%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -4.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.52%52.74%52.84%53.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.32%56.34%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reading (Visitante)

Predicción 21.02%4.76momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.121%
Kelly -0.154%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.29%21.05%21.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.334.7325.00%23.00%23.09%21.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.22%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.379%
Ventaja -0.100%
Kelly -0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.55%26.22%26.16%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.8032.26%28.47%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:44
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:44
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -1.69%E -0.451%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -1.69%E -0.451%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:49
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.50%E -2.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.50%E -2.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:09
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 12:05
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.29%EV -0.573%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -2.48%E -0.666%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:44
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.31%E -0.719%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:38
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:09
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:55
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.46%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.31%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:30
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:45
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.58%EV -4.57%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.64%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.31%E -0.719%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.15%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:34
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.379%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -18.73%E -6.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:49
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:34
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-03 13:55