Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town v Notts County

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Huddersfield Town 1–1 Notts County

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Previsão 56.13%1.78odd justa
EV -4.58%
Vantagem -2.69%
Kelly -6.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.76%56.21%56.16%58.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.53%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Notts County (Visitante)

Previsão 19.92%5.02odd justa
EV -0.396%
Vantagem -0.079%
Kelly -0.099%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.40%19.82%19.88%20.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.744.755.0023.09%21.12%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.95%4.18odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.00%23.97%23.97%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.833.854.1227.78%26.09%25.97%24.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Huddersfield Town (Local): 56.13%; Notts County (Visitante): 19.92%; Empate: 23.95%. Para Notts County (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.00, com valor esperado de -0.396%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.21%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -4.38%E -0.913%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:15
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.01%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.88%EV -4.58%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.11%EV -1.34%E -0.325%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.82%E -0.443%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 14:05
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 21:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 12:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:14
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -7.80%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -4.38%E -0.913%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 21:15
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.56%EV -4.58%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:29
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 22:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.38%E -0.698%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -3.38%E -0.698%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:30
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.98%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.50%E -5.22%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 09:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:31
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:06
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:15
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -9.63%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.19%E -6.37%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -10.19%E -6.37%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -11.87%E -7.56%K -20.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -0.396%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.62%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%2.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-04 14:35