Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Huddersfield Town (Local)

Predicción 51.51%1.94momio equitativo
EV -5.74%
Ventaja -3.13%
Kelly -6.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.16%51.53%51.53%52.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.57%55.56%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 23.58%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.78%23.54%23.54%24.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.964.004.1026.67%25.25%25.00%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.91%4.01momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%24.93%24.93%26.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.673.703.8430.77%27.25%27.03%26.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Huddersfield Town (Local): 51.51%; Mansfield Town (Visitante): 23.58%; Empate: 24.91%. Para Mansfield Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.10, con un valor esperado de -3.33%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.74%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.74%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 06:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.74%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.74%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 10:15
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.93%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.45%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.61%EV -4.34%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 09:59
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:19
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:25
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 06:09
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.37%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:14
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:59
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:14
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:05
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 02:00
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.40%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.05%EV -4.04%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.55%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:50
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:44
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 09:19
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 09:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:04
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:04
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.89%E -6.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -10.89%E -6.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -19.04%E -5.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-22 10:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 52.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%2.4%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%3.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%5.7%2026-04-24 02:30