Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Doncaster Rovers v Luton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.679%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.69%36.11%36.54%37.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.582.602.7040.82%38.70%38.46%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.66%2.80cote équitable
EV -5.49%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.88%35.90%35.64%37.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.582.6541.67%39.30%38.76%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.98%3.57cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%27.99%27.82%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.4233.33%30.22%30.30%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Doncaster Rovers (Local) : 36.36% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 35.66% ; Match nul : 27.98%. Pour Doncaster Rovers (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.75. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.70, pour une espérance de -1.83% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -1.83%E -0.679%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -1.83%E -0.679%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -1.83%E -0.679%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -11.55%E -4.66%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -13.33%E -5.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -13.33%E -5.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.74%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 19:49
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.74%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 17:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.63%EV -14.05%E -5.83%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.57%EV -5.83%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.69%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:14
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.74%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.91%EV -7.98%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.17%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 09:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -8.74%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.91%EV -7.98%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.17%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-23 09:59
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 17:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 19:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 10:49
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 06:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -14.40%E -6.00%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 15:14
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.05%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.88%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-02-23 10:08
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-02-23 10:09
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%7.4%2026-02-22 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 43.45%1.04I 96.15%NM 43.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 13.10%121.3%2026-02-23 09:59