La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Lincoln City

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 0–2 Lincoln City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV +3.68%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%30.82%31.06%32.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.003.3534.72%32.59%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Predicción 40.72%2.46momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.45%41.00%40.61%44.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.222.252.3649.02%45.05%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.829%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.331%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%28.17%28.33%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.35%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +3.68%E +1.10%K +1.57%G +0.058%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -14.50%E -6.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.25%E -0.651%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:20
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +3.68%E +1.10%K +1.57%G +0.058%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -14.50%E -6.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.25%E -0.651%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +3.68%E +1.10%K +1.57%G +0.058%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -14.50%E -6.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.25%E -0.651%K -0.916%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -15.31%E -7.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -15.72%E -7.59%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:20
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -15.72%E -7.59%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +0.586%E +0.180%K +0.260%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -16.94%E -8.30%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV +0.586%E +0.180%K +0.260%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -16.94%E -8.30%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -3.75%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.70%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -5.93%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 18:40
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:35
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.98%E -3.53%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -3.91%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -3.91%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -0.829%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 18:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:30
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:30
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.829%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:34
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:40
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:19
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:34
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:35
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:15
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 18:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -0.829%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:33
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:25
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.23%EV -7.98%E -3.53%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:35
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:34
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -14.50%E -6.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.40%E -6.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-21 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-21 18:35