La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Blackpool

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.32%49.64%49.72%51.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.861.851.9356.18%53.76%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 24.05%4.16momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -0.953%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.23%24.13%24.02%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.863.904.0028.57%25.90%25.64%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.620%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%26.23%26.26%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.523.7232.26%28.18%28.37%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -5.50%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -2.31%E -0.620%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.37%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.37%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.09%E -2.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.09%E -2.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.09%E -2.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.09%E -2.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:54
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 05:09
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:44
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 13:05
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -6.70%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 13:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 05:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.81%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.83%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -9.07%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.84%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -18.59%E -6.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.04%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -11.55%E -6.49%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -11.55%E -6.49%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-14 14:55