La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Burton Albion v Wimbledon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burton Albion (Local)
Predicción 51.61%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.82%51.58%51.76%53.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.811.8858.14%55.24%55.25%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wimbledon (Visitante)
Predicción 21.26%4.70momio equitativo
EV +7.80%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.95%21.12%21.21%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.294.305.0725.64%23.32%23.26%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.13%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.899%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.84%27.30%27.03%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.503.6032.26%29.21%28.57%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.95%EV +7.80%E +1.54%K +1.92%G +0.149% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -9.66%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV +0.995%E +0.210%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -15.90%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.068%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -15.90%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.068%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -15.90%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.23%E -6.53%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -0.068%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.58%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.19%E -0.477%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -9.93%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -2.19%E -0.477%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.32%E -0.960%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -5.38%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -5.38%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.01%EV -5.60%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -7.51%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.72%E -6.19%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 13:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.93%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 08:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 07:57 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.57%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 08:00 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.35%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.64%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.19%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 08:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.70%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 07:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -8.65%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.83%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:22 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -14.95%E -3.74%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -16.01%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -16.01%E -4.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -17.08%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.34% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |