La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Burton Albion v Reading
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burton Albion (Local)
Predicción 42.62%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.846%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.52%42.50%42.67%44.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.24%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reading (Visitante)
Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV -0.700%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.41%28.91%28.68%31.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.203.4534.48%31.78%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.28%28.59%28.65%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.74%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -1.12%E -0.481%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -1.97%E -0.856%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -7.35%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -7.35%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.21%E -4.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.21%E -4.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.53%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.53%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -5.38%E -2.42%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -0.700%E -0.203%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.51%E -3.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.35%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 19:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.14%E -0.629%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -1.85%E -0.543%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.12%EV -8.21%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:24 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -10.49%E -5.00%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.65%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |