La escuela de los momios

Burton Albion v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.50%32.55%32.56%33.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.842.803.0336.36%35.23%35.71%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 37.87%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.68%37.88%37.83%39.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.452.452.5642.55%40.75%40.82%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.930%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%29.57%29.61%30.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.203.3133.90%31.65%31.25%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -1.32%E -0.437%K -0.653%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.63%EV -3.05%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.58%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.05%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -6.58%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%EV -3.05%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25%EV -6.58%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -4.26%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:54
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -4.91%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.90%EV -4.91%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:35
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:55
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.87%E -4.15%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -2.15%E -0.649%K -0.930%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:34
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:34
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:39
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:30
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.44%E -0.740%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.08%E -2.45%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:39
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:55
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.11%E -3.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:38
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.22%E -2.95%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -7.97%E -3.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -7.97%E -3.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.25%EV -10.24%E -4.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-03-21 14:54