Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bromley FC v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Bromley FC 0–5 Leyton Orient

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bromley FC (Local)

Predicción 40.12%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.92%40.05%40.15%41.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.322.4545.45%42.76%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.644%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%32.44%32.28%33.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.803.1337.04%35.12%35.71%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.064%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.51%27.57%29.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.133.333.303.6431.95%30.03%30.30%27.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bromley FC (Local): 40.12%; Leyton Orient (Visitante): 32.39%; Empate: 27.49%. Para Leyton Orient (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.09. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.13, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.37%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -6.92%E -2.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV +1.37%E +0.439%K +0.644%G +0.009%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -13.96%E -4.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.48%EV -6.92%E -2.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV +0.064%E +0.017%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:28
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -2.84%E -0.946%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.32%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -5.43%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -4.91%E -2.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.52%E -3.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -1.70%E -0.694%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -1.04%E -0.288%K -0.398%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.32%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.73%E -5.33%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-09-01 18:35