La escuela de los momios

Bradford City v Rotherham United

Inicio: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Predicción 56.14%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -6.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%56.29%56.16%58.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7063.69%60.20%59.88%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Predicción 18.19%5.50momio equitativo
EV +10.44%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.215%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.81%18.02%18.15%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.035.006.0722.22%19.88%20.00%16.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -0.877%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.61%25.69%25.68%26.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.603.8030.77%27.78%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.52%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.81%EV +10.44%E +1.72%K +2.06%G +0.215%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 19:20
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.41%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +4.61%E +0.802%K +0.971%G +0.045%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.41%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +4.61%E +0.802%K +0.971%G +0.045%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 19:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +0.066%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-24 19:20
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -11.87%E -7.56%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +0.066%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-24 19:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.75%E -0.325%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:20
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -6.81%E -4.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.57%EV -3.03%E -0.568%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.48%E -0.854%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:25
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.48%E -0.854%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.48%E -0.854%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:15
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.48%E -0.854%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -5.39%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 17:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 17:15
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -2.46%E -0.646%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 17:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 19:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 19:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 19:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -6.81%E -4.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 19:00
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 19:40
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:10
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:00
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.17%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -9.94%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -9.94%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:20
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.36%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.36%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.36%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.81%E -4.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -10.85%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 19:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:35
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.39%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.39%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.31%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 17:15
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 17:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.58%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -13.58%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -13.58%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -16.57%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-24 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-02-24 19:35
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%2.2%2026-02-24 19:40