La escuela de los momios

Blackpool v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Blackpool (Local)

Predicción 37.11%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.18%36.95%38.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.6043.48%40.57%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 32.90%3.04momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.26%32.94%32.87%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.802.9238.02%35.54%35.71%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.98%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.457%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.88%30.18%31.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.123.103.3035.09%32.08%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 00:45
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.75%EV -4.25%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.47%EV -3.92%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.78%EV -7.65%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 20:34
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -4.99%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.65%EV -6.55%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.57%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:49
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -4.99%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.65%EV -6.55%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -10.65%E -3.57%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:23
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:24
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 06:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:10
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 06:09
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 06:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:24
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:29
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 00:49
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -1.05%E -0.319%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:26
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.55%E -0.785%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:30
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.55%E -0.785%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:30
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.55%E -0.785%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:30
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.05%E -0.319%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 13:34
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:36
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.08%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:34
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:34
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -9.82%E -4.04%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:34
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:28
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -2.55%E -0.785%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:30
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.05%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.55%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:29
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 20:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -14.54%E -5.10%K -7.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:18
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -11.67%E -4.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -5.55%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -11.67%E -4.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -5.55%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.64%E -6.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.46%E -5.12%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.64%E -4.74%K -7.26%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 20:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 37.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%3.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%3.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%3.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.72%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%4.4%2026-04-24 02:55