La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Wycombe Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 33.09%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.37%33.19%33.11%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.29%36.36%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.20%2.49momio equitativo
EV -0.309%
Ventaja -0.124%
Kelly -0.209%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.82%40.15%40.07%41.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.352.4846.51%42.59%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.314%
Kelly -0.430%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.66%26.82%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.83%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.62%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.30%EV -2.23%E -0.609%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:20
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.04%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:38
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -8.35%E -3.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -8.35%E -3.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.70%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -7.95%E -3.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.04%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.04%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -1.16%E -0.314%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:40
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.53%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:16
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:40
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.33%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:20
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:25
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 17:55
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.53%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 18:00
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:23
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:15
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:20
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -7.95%E -3.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -5.53%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:40
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 17:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.309%E -0.124%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 18:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.309%E -0.124%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 18:50
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -0.309%E -0.124%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 18:50
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -12.98%E -4.93%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -2.32%E -0.954%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -12.98%E -4.93%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -2.32%E -0.954%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:05
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -13.97%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -13.97%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-03 19:40