Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tottenham Hotspur v Charlton Athletic

Início: 2026-08-26 18:45 UTC

Final: Tottenham Hotspur 5–1 Charlton Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tottenham Hotspur (Local)

Previsão 82.97%1.21odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -2.50%
Kelly -17.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.04%82.72%82.96%84.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.131.131.1793.46%88.82%88.50%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Charlton Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 5.54%18.04odd justa
EV +6.70%
Vantagem +0.348%
Kelly +0.367%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.95%5.63%5.55%7.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
12.5016.2917.0019.258.00%6.14%5.88%5.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 11.49%8.70odd justa
EV +3.40%
Vantagem +0.378%
Kelly +0.425%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.22%11.65%11.50%13.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.607.998.009.0015.15%12.52%12.50%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tottenham Hotspur (Local): 82.97%; Charlton Athletic (Visitante): 5.54%; Empate: 11.49%. Para Charlton Athletic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 18.04. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 19.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.68%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 5.00%EV +6.70%E +0.348%K +0.367%G +0.025%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.31%E +0.279%K +0.295%G +0.016%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.75%EV +3.40%E +0.378%K +0.425%G +0.014%3.3%2026-08-26 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +5.31%E +0.279%K +0.295%G +0.016%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.75%EV +3.40%E +0.378%K +0.425%G +0.014%3.3%2026-08-26 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.84%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +5.31%E +0.279%K +0.295%G +0.016%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.28%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +5.31%E +0.279%K +0.295%G +0.016%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%18.44I 5.42%NM 5.18%EV +2.21%E +0.120%K +0.127%G +0.003%8.61I 11.61%NM 11.09%EV -1.08%E -0.125%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:34
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -0.232%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -0.232%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 17:58
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.04%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.09%EV -0.232%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -24.17%E -3.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.04%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.09%EV -0.232%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -24.17%E -3.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.20%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 18:04
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 17:59
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.88%EV -7.91%E -7.12%K -71.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV +0.530%E +0.061%K +0.068%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.56%E -8.77%K -106.27%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +3.40%E +0.378%K +0.425%G +0.014%8.7%2026-08-26 18:34
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -19.58%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -19.58%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.57%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -19.58%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.87%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%EV -5.77%E -0.340%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-26 18:09
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -3.76%E -3.24%K -23.48%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.98%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -5.21%E -0.632%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:32
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -3.76%E -3.24%K -23.48%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.98%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -5.21%E -0.632%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -7.91%E -7.12%K -71.87%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 82.99%EV -11.22%E -10.49%K -160.34%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.55%EV -11.32%E -0.707%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.46%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-26 18:39
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -2.93%E -2.50%K -17.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 18:34
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -7.91%E -7.12%K -71.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.96%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -2.34%E -0.276%K -0.312%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -9.56%E -8.77%K -106.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-26 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -9.56%E -8.77%K -106.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-26 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -9.56%E -8.77%K -106.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -16.86%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-26 17:34
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.56%EV -21.29%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 11.68%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -22.40%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -22.40%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.39%E -9.62%K -129.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -22.40%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-26 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -7.91%E -7.12%K -71.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -27.95%E -2.15%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -27.95%E -2.15%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.83%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 18:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.31%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.15%EV -30.72%E -2.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.54%EV -10.96%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-26 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-26 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-26 18:34
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.8%2026-08-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.38%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-08-26 18:40