Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle v Coventry City

Inicio: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 2–4 Coventry City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Predicción 16.21%6.17momio equitativo
EV +0.854%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.164%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.38%16.43%16.23%19.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.575.606.2221.74%17.95%17.86%16.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coventry City (Visitante)

Predicción 62.59%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.68%62.18%62.52%63.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.45%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.20%4.72momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -0.691%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.39%21.25%22.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.264.224.6025.64%23.46%23.67%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 16.21%; Coventry City (Visitante): 62.59%; Empate: 21.20%. Para Plymouth Argyle (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.17. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.22, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.854%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.38%EV +0.854%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.78%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.84%EV -2.70%E -0.588%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.45%EV -0.281%E -0.046%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.94%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV -1.09%E -0.179%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.31%EV -4.87%E -3.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.90%E -0.314%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:30
1xBet🎯6.03I 16.58%NM 15.71%EV -2.23%E -0.369%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.57%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:31
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:39
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:30
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.71%E -0.452%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:30
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.33%E -0.735%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -14.15%E -3.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -4.33%E -0.735%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.87%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61%EV -14.15%E -3.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.96%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:35
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.77%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:28
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.77%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -4.87%E -3.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:34
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.20%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:34
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:29
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:34
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.21%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 18:39
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.87%E -6.86%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.87%E -6.86%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.65%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:38
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.82%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.87%E -6.86%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:29
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.44%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.44%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.44%E -2.30%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.06%E -2.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -15.68%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.10%EV -15.68%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.09%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -17.33%E -4.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.10%EV -15.68%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.09%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -17.33%E -4.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.10%EV -15.68%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.09%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -17.33%E -4.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -17.31%E -3.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -8.62%E -5.91%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 18:34
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -25.41%E -5.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -1.74%E -1.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -25.41%E -5.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -1.74%E -1.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -25.41%E -5.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -1.74%E -1.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:04
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -25.41%E -5.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -1.74%E -1.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-08-25 18:39