Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Sheffield United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackburn Rovers (Local)

Previsão 32.88%3.04odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.681%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.04%32.93%32.89%34.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.792.802.9838.46%35.81%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sheffield United (Visitante)

Previsão 39.44%2.54odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.887%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.53%39.38%39.42%40.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.402.4844.44%42.00%41.67%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.69%3.61odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.97%27.69%27.69%28.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.07%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Blackburn Rovers (Local): 32.88%; Sheffield United (Visitante): 39.44%; Empate: 27.69%. Para Blackburn Rovers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.98, com valor esperado de -2.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.30%EV -2.03%E -0.681%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.58%EV -3.37%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.33%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.01%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -5.03%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -5.03%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:24
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:39
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -4.99%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.97%EV -7.72%E -3.30%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -6.41%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:30
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.09%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:34
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:39
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:21
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -2.20%E -0.887%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:23
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.89%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.40%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.63%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -14.52%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -14.52%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:23
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -14.52%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-08-25 18:39