La escuela de los momios

Sheffield Wednesday v West Bromwich Albion

Inicio: 2026-05-02 11:30 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Bromwich Albion

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 19.78%5.06momio equitativo
EV +3.86%
Ventaja +0.735%
Kelly +0.908%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.74%19.75%21.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.804.755.2523.26%20.83%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

West Bromwich Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 55.66%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.83%55.73%55.64%57.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.12%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.408%
Kelly +0.538%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.13%24.54%24.61%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.803.804.1431.25%26.29%26.32%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +3.86%E +0.735%K +0.908%G +0.035%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.30%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 11:06
ATG (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +3.86%E +0.735%K +0.908%G +0.035%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.30%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 11:05
Svenska Spel5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +3.86%E +0.735%K +0.908%G +0.035%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.30%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 11:05
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.86%E +0.735%K +0.908%G +0.035%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 11:25
1xBet5.17I 19.34%NM 18.78%EV +2.27%E +0.440%K +0.545%G +0.012%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.45%EV +1.69%E +0.408%K +0.538%G +0.009%3.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:05
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -8.73%E -5.32%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:10
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.890%E +0.174%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:05
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:25
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:10
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.57%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 11:23
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.40%E -6.46%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:05
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -12.62%E -8.04%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -3.07%E -0.626%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -12.06%E -7.64%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:09
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -3.07%E -0.626%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -12.06%E -7.64%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:05
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.06%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Pinnacle4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.71%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.32%EV -3.22%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:24
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:10
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -9.84%E -6.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:24
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 11:11
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.67%EV -7.61%E -4.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.75%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.75%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Neds4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:25
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:25
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:25
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.17%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 11:10
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.17%E -4.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:06
Bovada4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.61%E -4.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:24
BetUS4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.61%E -4.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:25
GTbets4.61I 21.69%NM 20.44%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:10
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -1.75%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.98%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -10.98%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.83%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -21.40%E -6.69%K -9.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 11:25
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -12.96%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 11:20
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -12.96%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -12.96%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.90%EV -9.84%E -6.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -13.95%E -3.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.35%EV -9.84%E -6.07%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.04%EV -8.38%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 11:25
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -14.34%E -3.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:20
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -14.94%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -10.95%E -6.84%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 11:25
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -14.94%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.52%EV -12.62%E -8.04%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -11.57%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-02 11:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%2.5%2026-05-02 11:25