La escuela de los momios

Sheffield Wednesday v Leicester City

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 14.47%6.91momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.187%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.23%14.48%14.47%16.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.486.507.0017.86%15.44%15.38%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leicester City (Visitante)

Predicción 63.43%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.24%63.43%63.37%65.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.471.451.5372.99%68.20%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.10%4.52momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.463%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%22.09%22.16%24.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.214.204.6027.78%23.78%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV -1.58%E -0.233%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.65%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +1.67%E +0.362%K +0.463%G +0.008%3.1%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV -1.58%E -0.233%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.65%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV +1.67%E +0.362%K +0.463%G +0.008%3.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle6.88I 14.53%NM 13.89%EV -0.426%E -0.062%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.01%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.10%EV +0.118%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:40
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.545%E -0.121%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
ReBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.55%EV -4.48%E -0.679%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -2.76%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.50%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -2.76%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:40
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -7.37%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.48%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.76%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:40
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:40
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:39
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:40
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:40
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.30%E -0.994%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -4.30%E -0.994%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 11:09
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 12:50
1xBet6.46I 15.48%NM 14.50%EV -6.51%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:40
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -6.65%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:34
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:40
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:39
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -16.06%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.97%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.31%E -0.342%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:39
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -9.54%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:38
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:20
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:10
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:10
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:20
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:20
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:40
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:40
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:35
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:40
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.59%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.28%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:10
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:10
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.06%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.06%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:55
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Betclic (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.72%E -1.92%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:34
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -18.95%E -3.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 13:35
GTbets6.47I 15.46%NM 14.61%EV -6.36%E -0.983%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.77%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:54
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.31%E +0.187%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:33
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 10:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:35
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.93%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -9.54%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:35
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -10.27%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.42%EV -13.11%E -9.57%K -35.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.91%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -13.16%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.44%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-06 13:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.10%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-04-06 13:35