Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Queens Park Rangers v Preston North End

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.230%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.27%56.02%56.10%57.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.681.7864.10%59.47%59.52%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Preston North End (Visitante)

Predicción 20.15%4.96momio equitativo
EV +0.727%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.182%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.07%20.15%20.09%21.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.554.605.0025.32%22.00%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.80%4.20momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.462%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.68%23.83%23.81%25.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.823.854.1428.17%26.15%25.97%24.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Queens Park Rangers (Local): 56.05%; Preston North End (Visitante): 20.15%; Empate: 23.80%. Para Preston North End (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.96. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.727%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +0.727%E +0.145%K +0.182%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:26
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -1.09%E -0.221%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.49%EV -8.12%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 16:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.25%EV -1.09%E -0.221%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.49%EV -8.12%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -1.29%E -0.263%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.30%E -0.688%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:21
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.30%E -0.688%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.30%E -0.688%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.30%E -0.688%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.40%E -0.586%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 15:21
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -6.32%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -0.230%E -0.129%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -0.230%E -0.129%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -0.230%E -0.129%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 15:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.16%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 16:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:56
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 15:56
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.42%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.69%EV -7.73%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.89%EV -1.45%E -0.351%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.35%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:21
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:46
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:46
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:46
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:46
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -4.78%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.38%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.59%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -13.38%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -13.12%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.63%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -13.38%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.35%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 16:15
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.38%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -13.12%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.32%EV -10.88%E -6.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -13.38%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.23%EV -13.59%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:46
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -14.38%E -3.38%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -15.39%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.31%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 14:46
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.61%EV -10.88%E -6.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.92%EV -16.40%E -3.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -15.50%E -4.37%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-12 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.51%EV -12.56%E -8.05%K -22.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%EV -20.43%E -5.17%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.96%EV -15.50%E -4.37%K -6.08%G +0.000%17.6%2026-09-12 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 52.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.20%11.2%2026-09-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 43.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 13.99%90.6%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 43.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 13.99%90.6%2026-09-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 32.16%1.22I 81.97%NM 32.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.67%154.8%2026-09-12 20:20