Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Preston North End v West Bromwich Albion

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Preston North End (Local)

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.99%27.08%27.01%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.373.353.6032.79%29.64%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 45.62%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.893%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.23%45.48%45.61%46.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.042.052.1554.64%49.01%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.33%3.66momio equitativo
EV -0.234%
Ventaja -0.064%
Kelly -0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.44%27.38%28.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.413.403.6531.75%29.31%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Preston North End (Local): 27.05%; West Bromwich Albion (Visitante): 45.62%; Empate: 27.33%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.65, con un valor esperado de -0.234%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.62%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.09%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.50%EV -4.66%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.234%E -0.064%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.234%E -0.064%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.234%E -0.064%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:30
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 14:30
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 14:30
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 16:05
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 16:30
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 14:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:05
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.16%EV -5.97%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.94%E -3.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -5.97%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 15:15
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 16:10
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 16:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 14:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:05
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:00
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:04
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.85%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 17:40
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -1.92%E -0.893%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 15:20
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.94%E -3.40%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 15:00
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 15:15
ReBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 27.21%EV -11.28%E -3.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.68%E -4.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -11.99%E -3.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 16:05
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.85%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.85%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 15:00
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.85%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.85%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -9.68%E -4.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.41%E -6.47%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -16.52%E -9.03%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.85%EV -17.50%E -5.74%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.18%EV -14.24%E -7.57%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.97%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.47%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-17 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-10-17 18:35
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%13.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 31.20%1.35I 74.07%NM 31.20%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.60%137.4%2026-10-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 31.20%1.35I 74.07%NM 31.20%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.60%137.4%2026-10-17 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 30.77%1.35I 74.07%NM 30.77%1.08I 92.59%NM 38.46%140.7%2026-10-17 18:15