A Escola das Odds

Preston North End v Southampton

Início: 2026-05-02 11:30 UTC

Final: Preston North End 1–3 Southampton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Preston North End (Local)

Previsão 26.29%3.80odd justa
EV +2.51%
Vantagem +0.645%
Kelly +0.867%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.21%26.33%26.34%27.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.623.603.9030.30%27.65%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Visitante)

Previsão 49.71%2.01odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.28%49.63%49.67%51.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.871.881.9657.80%53.47%53.19%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.00%4.17odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.389%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.98%24.04%23.99%26.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.843.854.1030.30%26.04%25.97%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV +2.51%E +0.645%K +0.867%G +0.022%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.36%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:41
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV +2.51%E +0.645%K +0.867%G +0.022%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 11:25
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV +2.51%E +0.645%K +0.867%G +0.022%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV +1.20%E +0.312%K +0.421%G +0.005%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +1.20%E +0.312%K +0.421%G +0.005%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:25
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +1.20%E +0.312%K +0.421%G +0.005%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:25
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +1.20%E +0.312%K +0.421%G +0.005%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:25
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.85%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:40
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:41
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:40
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:36
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.115%E -0.030%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:30
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.43%E -0.381%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.00%E -0.999%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -1.43%E -0.381%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -12.50%E -7.10%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:25
1xBet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -2.74%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%EV -2.56%E -1.31%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV -3.76%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:20
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.74%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:45
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -2.74%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:41
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -2.74%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -11.01%E -6.15%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:30
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.62%EV -2.32%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 11:20
NordicBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.04%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -5.68%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Betsson3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.04%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -5.68%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -10.02%E -5.54%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:41
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.00%E -0.999%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 11:15
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.00%E -0.999%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 10:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.00%E -0.999%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:21
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.52%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 11:19
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:44
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:15
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:16
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:15
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 11:20
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:16
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:20
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.90%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -5.92%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:20
GTbets3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -5.90%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.35%EV -4.24%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 11:20
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 11:15
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:18
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:19
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.52%E -5.23%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -10.52%E -5.84%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -20.80%E -6.30%K -9.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 10:46
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.60%E -0.389%K -0.515%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:20
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:20
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 11:20
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.53%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:20
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.52%E -5.84%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.52%E -5.84%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.80%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:20
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.04%EV -14.00%E -8.09%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-05-02 11:16