La escuela de los momios

Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portsmouth (Local)

Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.74%43.83%43.86%45.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.092.102.2051.81%47.84%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Queens Park Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.07%28.93%30.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.173.203.3135.09%31.54%31.25%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.502%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.186%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.75%27.10%27.21%28.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.7032.26%29.52%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV +0.502%E +0.136%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-26 07:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 18:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 07:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 07:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 07:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 09:55
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.21%E -0.615%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 07:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.57%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 09:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.61%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.57%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 09:04
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:38
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -4.84%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 15:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 22:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 22:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 03:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 07:08
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.80%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 14:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -6.38%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.67%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.10%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 14:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 15:20
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 13:45
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 12:08
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.56%E -3.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:38
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.59%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 15:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.94%E -5.50%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 18:05
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 10:54
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 43.49%EV -8.35%E -4.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -9.56%E -3.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -9.82%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 08:10
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 18:25
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.95%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -14.44%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-18 15:19
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.29%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.77%EV -17.39%E -6.10%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -14.44%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-18 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 43.91%EV -15.37%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 28.92%EV -15.07%E -5.14%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.16%EV -15.25%E -4.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-18 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 43.79%EV -15.37%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 28.94%EV -15.36%E -5.26%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 13:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%3.9%2026-07-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%3.9%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%3.9%2026-07-25 17:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%5.2%2026-07-25 18:15