La escuela de los momios

Norwich City v Ipswich Town

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norwich City (Local)

Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.703%
Ventaja +0.238%
Kelly +0.360%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.37%34.05%34.17%35.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.752.9539.22%36.10%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ipswich Town (Visitante)

Predicción 37.85%2.64momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%37.88%37.83%39.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.452.452.5844.05%40.87%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV -0.831%
Ventaja -0.235%
Kelly -0.327%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%28.07%28.01%30.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.19%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +0.703%E +0.238%K +0.360%G +0.003%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.20%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +0.703%E +0.238%K +0.360%G +0.003%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.20%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:34
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV +0.703%E +0.238%K +0.360%G +0.003%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.20%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:34
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:40
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:39
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:39
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:40
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:39
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:39
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:40
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -1.69%E -0.586%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 10:40
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.88%EV -2.37%E -0.828%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.75%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -0.831%E -0.235%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 11:19
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.71%E -0.951%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.71%E -0.951%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -2.71%E -0.951%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -11.05%E -4.70%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 10:40
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.21%EV -3.39%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -3.48%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -2.51%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.79%EV -4.08%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -6.89%E -2.80%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:19
Betsson2.81I 35.59%NM 33.79%EV -4.08%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -6.89%E -2.80%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:19
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:04
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:14
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -11.81%E -5.07%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 10:40
ReBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.68%EV -5.44%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.35%E -0.910%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.09%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:35
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -7.65%E -3.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.43%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.48%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:35
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.17%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:34
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:23
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:14
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:14
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:14
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:20
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -7.15%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -8.78%E -3.64%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:24
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -3.48%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:14
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:14
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:35
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:35
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -19.32%E -6.71%K -10.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:14
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.49%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.29%EV -6.89%E -2.80%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.49%EV -9.20%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.29%EV -6.89%E -2.80%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:14
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.62%EV -8.40%E -3.47%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:17
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.27%E -4.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -14.08%E -6.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 11:19
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -12.95%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 10:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-11 11:25