La escuela de los momios

Ipswich Town v Queens Park Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 11:30 UTC

Final: Ipswich Town 3–0 Queens Park Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ipswich Town (Local)

Predicción 76.03%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -6.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.73%75.90%76.11%78.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.231.241.2986.96%81.17%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Queens Park Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 8.84%11.31momio equitativo
EV +12.47%
Ventaja +0.981%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.133%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.46%8.97%8.69%11.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.4611.0012.7212.50%9.56%9.09%7.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.13%6.61momio equitativo
EV +5.88%
Ventaja +0.840%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.39%15.13%15.20%16.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.156.007.0017.86%16.26%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.51%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%12.72I 7.86%NM 7.46%EV +12.47%E +0.981%K +1.06%G +0.133%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.03%EV -10.46%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 11:25
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.51%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%12.72I 7.86%NM 7.46%EV +12.47%E +0.981%K +1.06%G +0.133%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.03%EV -10.46%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 11:25
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +6.11%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:25
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +6.11%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.98%EV -4.20%E -3.33%K -16.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.32%EV +1.69%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.69%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:45
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.98%EV -4.20%E -3.33%K -16.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.32%EV +1.69%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.69%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:45
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.98%EV -4.20%E -3.33%K -16.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.32%EV +1.69%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.69%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:45
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +1.69%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:30
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 77.49%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%11.47I 8.72%NM 8.31%EV +1.42%E +0.124%K +0.136%G +0.002%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.20%EV +1.49%E +0.222%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.9%2026-05-02 11:20
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.92%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:25
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.20%E -3.33%K -16.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 11:05
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:50
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:50
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:51
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +5.88%E +0.840%K +0.980%G +0.058%6.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.47%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:41
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:51
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:40
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:56
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 10:45
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 75.84%EV -8.00%E -6.61%K -38.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.73%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -7.16%E -0.682%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:51
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.59%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -7.16%E -0.682%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:11
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:10
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:05
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -8.00%E -6.61%K -38.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -5.47%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.21%EV -8.00%E -6.61%K -38.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:51
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.21%EV -8.00%E -6.61%K -38.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:50
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.59%EV -1.92%E -1.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.86I 10.14%NM 9.76%EV -12.81%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.65%EV -6.98%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 11:25
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.99%EV -3.44%E -2.71%K -12.74%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.77%EV -13.79%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -5.47%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 10:44
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -3.44%E -2.71%K -12.74%G +0.000%9.67I 10.34%NM 10.00%EV -14.49%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.85%EV +5.58%E +0.799%K +0.933%G +0.052%3.4%2026-05-02 11:20
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -15.11%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:01
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -15.11%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:01
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -15.11%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.96%E -3.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:45
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -18.21%E -1.97%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -5.72%E -4.61%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -18.21%E -1.97%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.499%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -6.48%E -5.27%K -28.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -15.30%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 11:04
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 75.60%EV -12.56%E -10.92%K -83.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.66%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.24%E -5.94%K -32.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -29.26%E -3.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.73%EV -8.00%E -6.61%K -38.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -29.26%E -3.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.84%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.84%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.84%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.98%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.71%1.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.67%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.7%2026-05-02 11:15
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%2.0%2026-05-02 11:10