L’École des cotes

Hull City v Southampton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hull City (Local)

Prévision 21.06%4.75cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%21.01%21.07%22.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.444.504.7025.97%22.53%22.22%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Southampton (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.13%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.76%51.13%51.11%52.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.821.831.8959.52%54.89%54.64%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.82%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.354%
Kelly -0.492%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%27.86%27.83%29.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.353.5533.33%30.09%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -1.04%E -0.220%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -1.04%E -0.220%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 08:15
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -1.04%E -0.220%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 08:14
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -2.09%E -0.449%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.84%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31%EV -1.26%E -0.354%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 17:50
LowVig.ag4.61I 21.69%NM 20.63%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -3.48%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 08:30
BetOnline.ag4.61I 21.69%NM 20.63%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -3.48%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 08:30
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.46%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.26%E -0.354%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 18:00
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 14:49
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:15
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.95%E -3.82%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:15
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 03:24
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 14:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 15:39
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 15:15
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 15:20
GTbets4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.49%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.53%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 01:55
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 05:18
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 13:26
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:24
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 14:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 14:49
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.48%E -4.74%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 08:15
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 08:15
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -6.30%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -8.99%E -5.05%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 15:11
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -6.30%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -8.99%E -5.05%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 20:30
Pinnacle4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -6.72%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 17:50
Betsson4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -6.72%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 15:10
NordicBet4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -6.72%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 15:10
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 15:39
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 15:40
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -10.01%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 13:50
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -10.01%E -5.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 13:50
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.43%E -3.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 15:38
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 10:10
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 15:14
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 18:00
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 17:50
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -9.46%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 15:39
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -10.51%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.25%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 17:48
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.51%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 17:48
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:55
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:55
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.41%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:55
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.50%E -5.37%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.55%E -6.68%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-19 14:50
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -14.10%E -8.40%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-18 15:13
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -12.62%E -3.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -10.53%E -6.01%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-19 05:20
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.10%EV -12.62%E -3.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.92%EV -12.06%E -7.01%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -12.94%E -4.13%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-19 05:20
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -11.04%E -6.34%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-19 05:19
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.09%EV -18.93%E -4.92%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.03%EV -13.08%E -7.70%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.88%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-19 05:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-19 16:30
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.34%15.2%2026-05-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 14.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 29.25%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.89%77.1%2026-05-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 14.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 29.25%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.89%77.1%2026-05-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 14.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 29.25%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.89%77.1%2026-05-19 18:00