La escuela de los momios

Hull City v Birmingham City

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hull City (Local)

Predicción 37.80%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.962%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.37%37.83%37.74%39.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.472.5843.48%40.61%40.49%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Birmingham City (Visitante)

Predicción 33.95%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.528%
Kelly -0.807%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.62%33.86%33.98%35.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.522.772.752.9039.68%36.12%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV -0.848%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.338%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.30%28.28%29.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.303.303.5132.79%30.29%30.30%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -2.48%E -0.962%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.77%EV -5.27%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -0.848%E -0.242%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.54%EV -2.48%E -0.962%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -3.11%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:30
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:49
Caesars2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:38
GTbets2.53I 39.53%NM 37.61%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 04:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -4.75%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.63%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -4.75%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.63%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 11:00
NordicBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.84%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.80%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Betsson2.51I 39.84%NM 37.84%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.80%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 07:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:48
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.51%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:30
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 38.14%EV -5.88%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.39%EV -6.64%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:38
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.39%EV -6.64%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 05:49
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 07:20
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:30
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -2.55%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:30
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -10.04%E -4.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.04%E -4.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.04%E -4.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:30
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -10.04%E -4.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -11.02%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:19
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.40%EV -7.64%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:38
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 05:35
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -14.44%E -5.73%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.84%E -4.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.07%E -5.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 05:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%4.0%2026-04-18 13:40