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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Derby County v Bolton Wanderers

2026-11-06 20:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Derby County (主队)

预测 41.88%2.39公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -2.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.40%41.88%41.88%43.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.192.212.3050.76%45.58%45.25%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bolton Wanderers (客队)

预测 30.82%3.24公平赔率
EV -4.14%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -1.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.11

博彩公司预测分布
29.84%30.82%30.82%31.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.973.003.1136.36%33.70%33.33%32.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.30%3.66公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -0.482%
Kelly -0.667%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.38%27.30%27.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.393.403.6031.75%29.52%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Derby County (主队)：41.88%；Bolton Wanderers (客队)：30.82%；平局：27.30%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.66。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-1.74%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.74%E -0.482%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.74%E -0.482%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.74%E -0.482%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 20:40
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.92%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.33%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.46%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 20:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 20:40
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 20:39
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 20:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 20:30
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 20:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 20:40
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.70%E -3.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 20:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -12.16%E -4.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.36%EV -13.31%E -6.43%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-30 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.33%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -15.24%E -5.54%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.88%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-30 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.17%EV -17.49%E -8.88%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.84%EV -12.16%E -4.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.00%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-30 20:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%13.8%2026-10-30 20:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 40.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.33%20.1%2026-10-31 02:05